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Archive for July 1st, 2009

On the bond market continues to outset

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 21:09

Domestic On the bond market continues to lateral movement. After summarizing the reporting period, investors have been slow to begin active investment activities. We continue to see a smooth decline in the most overheated quotes blue chips (Moscow, VTB, Lukoil). Not the least reason for this is an excessive sentence in this segment in the primary market. At mid-day trading on Wednesday with the largest turnover grew FGC-2 (3.66% of the closing price on Tuesday), TehNikol-1 (0.51%), Moskva62 (0,12%), Tattel (0 , 08%), CFR-16 (0.06%), band-AHML-A (0.04%), CFR-12 (0.03%), Iks5Fin-4 (0.02%). Decreased quotes the following Paper - VTB-5 (-0.04%), EBRD-5 (-0.04%), Transneft-1 (-0.06%), LukoylBO-20 (-0.11%), Sinterra -1 (-0.12%), Iks5Fin-1 (-0.15%), Moskva61 (-0.16%), Gazpromneft-4 (-0.22%), VC-Invest-1 (-0, 35%), MosObl-6 (-1.07%), TMK-3 (-2.97%). Today being the last tax (ESN) of the first half of July. Effect of tax exemptions on the money market will be minimal - the amount of funds on deposits and correspondent on the morning of the environment increased by 71.1 billion rubles. and amounted to 979.1 billion rubles. The rates of O /N were about 7% per annum, 3-month rate at 12% per annum. Russian ruble in the foreign exchange market was moving into the mainstream of the Forex market and oil prices. At the end of the second half of the trading day on Wednesday, the dollar fell by 0.1% to 31.123 rubles., The euro rose 0.33% to 43.904 rubles. As a result - a course bivalyutnoy baskets to ruble grew at 0.19%, and amounted to EUR 36.874. Market US Treasuries and eurobond In anticipation of opening the U.S. market on Wednesday a long treasury bonds lost in the price - UST curve slightly adjusted upwards by 5-6 bp - UST-2 - 1.109% per annum (-1b.p.), UST-10 - 3.581% per annum (4b.p.), UST-30 - 4.371% per annum (4b.p.). Published in the middle of the day on the job market (index ABC Employment Change) for June were weaker than expected - a decrease of 473 thousand to the forecast of 394 thousand new jobs.But market participants are ready to be published more makrostatistiki - to turn ISM Manufacturing, real estate market data and sales of motor vehicles. In the segment of Russian Eurobonds also remains cautious demand - quotes the main benchmark `a, Rus-30, had grown up to 98.93% (0.24%) of nominal value, yield issuance of 7.687% per annum (-6b.p. ). Spread between the Rus-30 - UST-10 continues to decline to 410 bp (-11b.p.) In Bond Market You can find information on issues of corporate and municipal bonds, as well as learn about the planned deployment, the outcome trades on the MICEX and read the comments on the bond market. Authorize and appreciate the story;; Your grade will be the first! Analyst Ratings

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The negative trend observed in the paper Polimetella - during the day, they showed a slight decrease

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 20:09

Trading Day is given relatively calm, without a high speed and activity. The movement was mostly quotes differently. The main positive in the morning at the Russian sites to provide news from Asia, particularly from China, where data on the PMI index were fairly optimistic. This gives hope that the Chinese economy is less than the others suffered the negative effects of the crisis and it could be at the head of the global economic recovery. Still, count on it all the same it would be premature. Good growth rate showed the paper to oil and gas, where the greatest demand for shares of Gazprom, Lukoil, Surgutneftegaz and Transneft in a background of high oil prices, which in turn grow up to expectations, reporting U.S. Department of Energy Stocks of crude oil and petroleumproducts. In a small black paper today the banking sector, where the best results show the action VTB. The negative trend observed in the paper Polimetella - during the day, they showed a slight decline. The general situation on the market remains the same: no significant movement up or down, has not yet been observed, and in the near future is unlikely to expect any major changes. By a slight improvement in the global economy, the participants seem to be accustomed to, and any major developments that could affect the momentum of exchanges, yet does not occur. Authorize and appreciate the story;; 1 users rated material at 2. Analyst Ratings

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Net profit SILAIS in 2008 increased by two times to 2 billion 662 million rubles

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 19:11

At the annual general meeting of shareholders of OJSC Machine-Building Plant, held on 25 June 2009, were approved by the annual report, annual accounts and the allocation of profit society. At the shareholders meeting has been elected to the Board of Directors of the company, which included: Vice-President of TVEL IA Voytash, VL Konstantinov, SV Podogova, first vice-president of JSC TVEL VV Christmas and AV Nikipelov, General Director of JSC MSZ OV Kryukov, Director of OAO Atomenergoprom VA Fedoseev. were also elected members of the Auditing Commission of society's auditor for 2009 approved by LLC Nexia Pacholi. The total volume of sales of JSC Machine-Building Plant in 2008 amounted to 11 billion 364 million rubles.

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Interest in the oil market to buy oil futures declined significantly

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 18:10

On the U.S. market yesterday, trading ended on the decline leading index, as investors are simply not able to respond differently to negative macroeconomic data, primarily from the research organization Conference Board, pursuant to which the index of consumer confidence in June 2009, the year fell by 5.5 item and the item was 49.3, which was significantly below market forecasts, it is expected that the value index was 57 points. In May 2009the first year the index of consumer confidence, according to revised data, was 54.8 points. Such statistics are an immediate negative impact on the value of the securities of companies whose profitability depends heavily on the state of the economy. Pretty much proseli quotes construction equipment manufacturer Caterpillar (-4,9%), at 1.4% cheaper shares American mediagiganta Walt Disney, while the quotes of one of the world leaders in computer manufacturing and computer services - IBM declined by only 1 , 3%. Bad traded securities companies and the financial sector. The value of the securities of one of the largest U.S.

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Asia: Year regional equity and the success of the Chinese Manufacturers mixed indexes

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 17:12

On Wednesday, 1 July, the region's stock markets finished the session with mixed dynamics against a background of macroeconomic indicators and concerns of investors regarding the sale of shares in many companies of Asia. Reducing the cost of raw materials and metals, as one would expect, also made a contribution. Daiwa Asset Management Experts believe that in the near future more companies will start to sell their securities, the aggregate amount of which will be about $ 90 billion Statistics in the region has been both positive and negative. Thus, the expected investment in capital assets (Tankan) fell in Japan during the second quarter at 9.4%, while analysts predicted a fall on 6.9%. Industrial production in Australia narrowed in June, 13 months in succession, and the number of permits for the construction of new homes dropped by 12.5% compared with the estimate of 3%. The index of business activity in China, the production, adjusted for seasonality in June was 53.2 points compared with 53.1 points a month earlier. At the end of the trading index MSCI Asia Pacific reduced its assets from 0.2% and closed at a level of 103.03 points. Japanese Nikkei 225 index fell 0.19%, while Australia SP /ASX 200 fell by 2.05%. The Hong Kong market was closed today in honor of a national holiday. Japan's leading non-bank lender Orix lost bids 4.8% of the market capitalization after the Nikkei newspaper reported that he plans to start selling their shares. Paper Fraser's Commercial Trust, the landlord of office premises, proseli 10% against the backdrop of allegations that he intends to sell shares at a discount. Quotations airline All Nippon Airways fell by 5.9% after news emerged that it planiuret sell their shares to finance the purchase of aircraft. The market value of securities Hindalco Industries, the first in India's largest aluminum producer, fell by 5.9% againstthe backdrop of allegations that he wishes to sell shares to institutional investors totaling $ 500 million Because of declining prices for oil and metals stocks the world's largest mining company BHP Billiton weakened to 2.4%. Papers leader in China for the production of gold, Zijin Mining Group became easier on 1,5%, and quotes Aluminum Corp of China fell by 0,4%. The growth index of business activity in the sphere of production in China have benefited the national economy. For example, shares of Baoshan Iron Steel strengthened by 4,8%, while the quotations in China's largest construction company China Railway Erju rose by 10%. Paper Komatsu, the second largest worldwide producer of earthmoving equipment, jumped to 1.8% after analysts Mizuho Financial upgraded its recommendation on the shares. The values of major indices at the closing are shown in the table: Index Country Closing (items) Change day (items) Changing the day (%) Value at beginning of year (the last closing in 2008) Change from the beginning of the year SP /ASX 200 Australia 3,874.00 -- 80.9 -2.05% 3722.30 4.08% All Ordinaries Australia 3,872.30 -75.5 -1.91% 3659.30 5.82% Ho Chi Minh Vietnam 430 -18.29 -4.08% 315.62 36.24% Hang Seng Hong Kong 18,378.73 -149.78 -0.81% 14387.48 27.74% Hang Seng H-shares Hong Kong 10,962.61 -24.96 -0.23% 7891.80 38.91% BSE 30 (Sensex) India 14,638.05 144.21 0.99% 9647.31 51.73% Jakarta Composite Indonesia 2,059.88 33.1 1.63% 1355.41 51.97% Shanghai A-shares China 3,157.77 51.18 1.65% 1911.79 65.17% CSI 300 China 3,237.90 71.43 2.26% 1817.72 78.13% KLSE Composite Malaysia 1,079.40 4.16 0.39% 876.75 23.11% NZSE 50 New Zealand 2,780.37 -15.74 -0.56% 2715.71 2.38% Karachi 100 Pakistan 7,287.01 124.83 1.74% 5865.01 24.25% Straits Times Singapore 2,352.55 19.41 0.83% 1761.56 33.55% Bangkok SET Thailand 430.35 -3.63 -0.84% 449.96 -4.36% TAIEX Taiwan 6,578.97 146.81 2.28% 4591.22 43.29% PSEi Philippines 2,432.89 -5.1 -0.21% 1872.85 29.90% Colombo All-Shares Sri Lanka 2,418.73 -13.42 -0.55% 1503.02 60.92% KOSPI South Korea 1,411.66 21.59 1.55% 1124.47 25.54% Nikkei 225 Japan 9,939.93 -18.51 -0.19% 8859.56 12.19% Topix Japan 928.3 -1.46 -0.16% 859.24 8.04%

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Ukraine ahead of Europe

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 16:12

Real unemployment in Ukraine, according to the methodology for the International Labor Organization, rose to 9.5% - over the past year have lost more than half of the people. However, in six EU countries the situation on the labor market is even worse. According to experts, in the mid-year increase in unemployment should be stalled by the worst prognosis, in the Ukraine will not be just 15% of active population. in January-March this year, the number of unemployed persons in Ukraine rose to 2.097 million people, at 518.7 thousand more than in I quarter of 2008, the State Statistics Committee reported, citing data on the International Labor Organization. Thus, for the year the level of real, rather than the official unemployment rate rose from 7.1% to 9.5%. As reported on April 1, the number registered in the public service employment of unemployed stood at 897.8 thousand But on the methodology of the International Labor Organization, all people 15-70 years who are unemployed, actively seek it and are ready to begin it in the next two weeks ; students toward public service employment, pending employer. economically active population of Ukraine for the year decreased by 192 thousand - up to 22.102 million, and employment - to 711 thousand, up to 20.005 million and decreased the number of inactive people (pensioners, students, workers in the private sector, desperate to find a job ) - 204 thousand, up to 12.871 million people. largest increase in unemployment observed in Kiev - to 102 thousand (58.3 thousand), Donetsk - 223.6 thousand (92.5 thousand), Dnipropetrovsk - 136,6 thousand (49.4 thousand ) and Vinnitsa region - 88.3 thousand (33.5 thousand). Lowest unemployment was in Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv and Chernivtsi regions - an average increase of 1.8 thousand in comparison with the EU, the unemployment rate in Ukraine, only 1% more (in the EU - 8.5%), while in six EU countries situation in the labor market is worse than in Ukraine.

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President podtyanul quotes banks

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 15:13

Ukrainian stock market rose on the basis of trading session on Tuesday - the PFTS index has risen to 1.41% (5.7 points), to 411.20 points and the Ukrainian Stock Exchange index - on 3,02% (29.53 points) to 1006.62, paragraph At the Ukrainian stock exchange transactions were concluded in the amount of 5.035 mln. at PFTS - to 6.34 mln. Ukraine's stock market showed positive momentum in the first trading day after the long weekend. PFTS Index as well with the opening of UB went up and kept growing until the closing. Trading activity, however, was moderate, - said Konstantin Litvin, strategist Astrum Investment Management. According to Paul Kostromitskogo, the trader's investment company Phoenix Capital, on Tuesday closed the quarter that set the behavior of the market. Markets have opened growth, but in the first hour went correction, and before the end of the day maintained a negative trend.

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After yesterday's correction rate of EUR / USD kept formed in the second half of June, the growing trend

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 14:13

This U.S. consumer confidence index, released yesterday, were slightly worse than expectations. The value of this indicator in June TG amounted to 49.3 point average against the projection and its previous value, equal to 55.1 and 54.8 pt.respectively. The market apparently has used this information to correct the segment on the highly risky assets, which in general is quite actively increased in recent days. However, no significant changes in market preferences of the players, apparently did not happen. First, the consumer climate in fact reflects the market already well-known things, such as the relatively high growth in energy prices, marked in April - May, TG, growing - despite the stabilization of other key macroeconomic indicators - the level of Unemployment in the United States. However, as practice shows, it is not always sufficient to obtain adequate estimates of future consumer spending. In addition, the market has, apparently, laid in the improvement of consumer prices, the investment climate that has occurred since the beginning of 2009, now the focus of investors focused on the real economy, which should actually reflect the validity of the increased market optimism. From this point of view, statistics, released Tuesday, were relatively favorable. Business climate indicator in industry, Chicago PMI, which traditionally have been very actively tracked the market, according to yesterday's data, in June TG showed improvement of up to 39.9 pt. to 34.9 points in May 2009 and the average forecast is for a 38.6 pt. Another important factor influencing the quotations on the sector highly risky assets and, indirectly, FX, is hot money in Asia, above all - the Japanese investors. The continuing weakness of export-oriented economies of Japan and the availability of its businesses, the state and the population of large and relatively cheap funding, continue to indicate a relatively high probability of sustained medium-term capital outflows from the country to external markets. This selective approach to regional investment in the Asian investors in recent times, perhaps significantly increased. European countries which, like Japan are likely to lag behind the United States and China in the pace of economic recovery and have, moreover, considerable resource may begin to lose the relative attractiveness for foreign investment. typical in this regard, today's decline on the yen cross-rates, which in the Asian session, developed exclusively by the growth of quotations USD /JPY. After yesterday's correction rate of EUR /USD has maintained, however, generated its own in the second half of June, TG growing trend. At the same time, based on the above factors, the potential growth of the currency pairs in terms of prospects for the coming weeks to be limited. Russian ruble to the USD and bivalyutnoy basket today by 11:30 Moscow time was 31.19 and 36.87 rubles. against, respectively, 31.05 and 36.80 rubles. Tuesday evening at the auction. The recent gradual appreciation of the ruble to bivalyutnoy basket Bank of Russia and the USD in the coming months, possibly as a result of continued, even in the face of improvement in the financial markets of Russia over the period mid-June, TG Operators of FX in this perspective, it seems, will closely monitor forecasts of the Russian budget statistics and the dynamics of these debt indicators of corporate sector of the economy of Russia. Authorize and appreciate the story;; 1 users rated material at 3. Analyst Ratings

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Today in the morning Asian indexes and futures on the U.S. indices again traded in the black

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 13:14

The optimism of investors yesterday was disrupted output unexpectedly weak consumer confidence index in the United States, which led to sales on a wide range of securities. However, the trend spread to talk about after yesterday's sale was too early. Today in the morning Asian indexes and futures on the U.S. indices again traded in the black, oil quotes have been able to play about half of yesterday's fall, and broke the barrier of $ 70 per barrel. After a very optimistic start the week, trading in the United States on Tuesday ended the decline of major indices: Dow has lost 0,97%, SP - 0,85%. The reason for the sales in the U.S. market was the unexpectedly weak consumer confidence index, which in June fell to 49.3 in May from 54.8 P. P. It should be noted that the index showed recovery in February of this year and, obviously, that decline suggests a certain threshold of confidence that threatens to slower recovery of their costs. Largely, the decline in consumer confidence hit shares of companies in consumer sector. However, also severely damaged and the paper metals companies - the main suppliers of raw materials for the production of consumer goods. Also declined, and the quotations of oil: in the course of the day, they reached $ 68.8 per barrel. Other news is to provide data on the prices of real estate: SP Case Shiller index has once again demonstrated a decrease month to month, but the dynamics of year to year shows that the fall in prices is slowing.

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Rising oil prices on expectations of reduction of oil reserves in the United States could defuse the situation on stock markets

Wednesday, July 1, 2009 12:13

Tuesday, June 30, the course of the trading on the Russian stock market most of the session to develop a scenario of previous days: the dynamic growth in the opening (MICEX index since the first hour of trades added more than 2% and was in the area of 1 010 points), due to rising prices oil in a zone of local maxima in the region of 73 dollars per barrel against the backdrop of continuing attacks by insurgents on oil pipelines in Nigeria, after noon, turned sluggish side views on the achieved levels. Violated the calm, again according to tradition, the weak macroeconomic statistics from the United States: consumer confidence index was significantly worse than expectations, which pushed global equity markets in negative territory, while oil prices at that time had already lost a significant portion of their morning gains, fell in the region of $ 69 per barrel. As a result, and on Russian exchanges in the completion of trades took place in a negative manner. Sharp change in sentiment can be seen from a comparison of daily changes in the main indices: the index of MICEX -1.79% to 971.55 points, while the RTS index, where the auction closes at 18:00, and thus could not play yesterday's U.S. statistics, 3.74% to 987.02 points. The oil and gas sector during the day looked better than the market, reducing the sectoral index MICEX OG -0,32%, while in the black obychka Tatneft (4.49%) and Novatek (2.28%). Not bad look and shares of Gazprom (-1.34%). looked better to the market and the electricity sector (MICEX PWR -1,19%), quotes a number of generating companies (TGK-1, OGK-2, OGK-4) completed the day in the black. However, the main factor in short-term dynamics of sectors, will likely obscherynochnye mood, then there is a risk reduction of recurrence of quotations preserved. Shares of Sberbank, gepom open the top, then the whole day showed a downward momentum, and finished the day much worse than the majority of blue chips, obychka -4.47% -4.97% prefy. Index MICEX FNL -1,94%. Metallurgical MICEX MM -2,02%, leading to reduction of MMC Norilsk Nickel (-4.11%), Polyus Gold (-4.16%) and TMK (-6.04%). Bumagi the telecommunications sector during the day traded differently, but by late afternoon most of them have left a significant negative, among the leaders of decline - Stocks Rostelecom (obychka -4.47% -8.94% prefy) and RBC IP (-- 6.94%). Telecommunication index MICEX TLC -2,54%. Expectations for today: as compared to yesterday evening, the external background slightly improved. We do not rule out that today the Russian market will try to hold at current levels. At the same time, yesterday's momentum once again confirms that the most probable direction of movement is still lowering prices. Cegodnyashny day will be saturated statdannymi on the U.S. economy (the index of business activity in manufacturing, sales of unfinished housing, oil), which are a potential danger for all Western markets. In addition, in anticipation of the ECB meeting (2 June), there may be a strengthening of volatility in currency markets, which also could make some tension in the markets. However, on the other hand, the increase in oil prices on expectations of reduction of oil reserves in the United States could defuse the situation on stock markets and to make a good recovery of quotations of commodity companies. Authorize and appreciate the story;; 1 users rated material at 2. Analyst Ratings

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