14.08.09 condition at 17:00 the Kiev Banks and Items of currency exchange (PAE) is most often buy 1 USD at the price of 8.2500 UAH, that is cheaper at 5.00 cop. than yesterday and offered at a price of 8.3500 UAH, that is cheaper at 5.00 kopecks. of the Bank and the Stand for purchase 1 USD fluctuate within 8.0000 - 8.3010 UAH. Best Offers to buy 1 USD at this time set in the following banks and Stand: 8.3010 UAH - Arsenal;; 8.3000 UAH - Globe;; Golden Gate KB;; FUIB KF;; Prominvestbank;, Sberbank of Russia; YUZHKOMBANK CF;; Absolut;; Скринька 2005;; Union-Garant;; of the Bank and Stand for sale 1 USD fluctuate within 8.3300 - 8.5000 UAH. best selling 1 USD at this time set in the following banks and Stand: 8.3300 UAH - Inter;; 8.3350 UAH - EURO;; SDYUSHOR-Kiev; ; Today Banks Stand and most often buy 1 EUR for the price of 11.8500 UAH, that expensive at 5.00 cop. than yesterday and offered at a price of 12.0500 UAH, that expensive at 10.00 kopecks. of the Bank and the Stand for the purchase of 1 EUR fluctuate in 11.4000 - 11.9001 UAH. Best Offers to buy 1 EUR at this time set in the following banks and Stand: 11.9001 UAH - Union-Garant;; 11.8900 UAH - Aktiv-Bank; of the Bank and Stand for sale 1 EUR vary in 11.9400 - 12.3000 UAH.
National Bank of Ukraine does not conduct active foreign exchange intervention and allow the devaluation natsvalyuty, since it is expected that by year-end situation with hryvnia devaluation can occur. As correspondent UNIAN transmits, this opinion was expressed by the head of information-analytical center Forex Club Nikolay Ivchenko today during a briefing. Over the past few days, the value of the dollar in cash and interbank markets increased by 30-32 kopecks. For the entire July, the dollar rose by 32 kopecks. And four days a week the same result, - said the expert. In his view, the National Bank to smooth such fluctuations by increasing the volume of interventions. Ivchenko noted that the volume of trades in the currency market during the first 7 days of August were more than 190 million, is lower than the volume of trades in the first 7 days of July (224 million). Real increase in demand for the currency market has not happened, instead, declined the proposal. Last month the National Bank increased its intervention in the approximately 450 million dollars - up to 1.1 billion dollars, and despite this, the dollar went up, Ivchenko said.
Until the end of August hryvnia rate to remain at the level of 8,3-8,5 grn. per dollar, and in September and October may rise to 10 UAH. The forecast today at a press conference was a financial expert Eric Naiman. As the correspondent ЛIГÐБiзнеÑIнформ, Naiman said: I expect that the current devaluation would be no higher than ten grn for dollar. ... Most likely the course before the end of August, will stabilize at current levels of 8,30-8,50. further development of the situation, according to Naiman, depends on the actions the Ministry of Finance and National Bank. As soon as the end of the shaft hryvnia, which has gone through the budget, but in my estimation, he now must come to an end, the National Bank will be more aggressive andstabilizes the official exchange rate is probably at a level somewhere 7,85, and the cash will remain at the level of 8,30-8,50 , - he said. Naiman also explained why, in September-October, he did not rule out another cycle of devaluation: Ministry of Finance will need to repay some 5 bln.
Market is on the ground Trading on the Russian sites have opened the decline of quotations, but the market quickly enough to restore the position and was able to get advantage. Follow the wave of sales once again increased the market down. Worse market traded securities WGC-5 (-2.46%) and RusGidro (-2%), a company that makes Tatneft (-1.25%). On the positive territory traded securities VTB (2.58%) and Gazprom Neft (3,66%). By 15.00 the MICEX index fell by 0.4% and reached 1097 points. The market remains lateral movement in the absence of ideas. In doing so, yesterday's batch of statistics has not been able to withdraw from a state of stupor markets, but increased the volatility. One has the feeling that the market rose to a dead stop at the current levels and do not want to go with them. Effects of portion of today's statistics may be identical to yesterday. However, it is hoped that it shifts the markets with a dead point. From statdannyh today include the consumer price index (CPI, is expected to 0%, previous 0.7%) goes to 16.30, the index of industrial production (Industrial Production, expected 0.4%, previous -0.4%) to be published in 17.15. Also, the players pay attention to the exit at 17.55 consumer sentiment index, calculated the University of Michigan (Mich Sentiment, expected 69 points, the previous value of 66 points). Authorize and appreciate the story;; Your grade will be the first! Analyst Ratings
For the current week, the stock market was trying to reach a new maximum value of the medium, recoil down, and then climb up the action again. Despite the fact that some blue chips such as bank and Rusgidro, entering new records and retained these marks were not, and the overall dynamics of the market was a lateral. market dynamics in general, perfectly visible on the time schedule of the MICEX index. Any attempt to drag the price up as well prosadit them fail. The index clearly within the range in the medium term. At the same time, a short while there are short-directed motion of no longer than one day. The graph clearly formed oblique resistance (red line), which now stands at 1110 points. This value is a key point for determining the direction of subsequent motion. If the market will find the strength to rise above this resistance, the minimum technical aim is to increase the level of 1180. At the same time, this will be passed the medium level of the maximum at around 1130 (blue line). And then will open the way for a global maximum in 1220, made the index in May. Achieving that level would be very likely. The fact that the market can not break above resistance at the same time not far away from him down, spoke in favor of what will soon break up all the same place. Most likely, before that we will observe the formation of a narrow band on a temporary short-term loss of interest in the shares and the consequent drop in trading volume. Today, the market continues stagnant with a slight downward bias. Of the major anticipated events that may affect the dynamics of the market during the day, out of a series of statdannyh in the United States from 16.30 to 18.00 Moscow time. The market in such a sluggish willingly follows the western stock indexes. At the time of writing the commentary in the market leader among the most liquid shares of Gazprom (0.3%) and Surgutneftegaz (0.5%). In apparent outsiders Rusgidro (-2.5%) and Sberbank (-1,3%). Authorize and appreciate the story;; 2 users rated material 4. Analyst Ratings
Polyus Gold Surrounding levels of support: 1256.26 /1240.00 /1218.00 nearest resistance levels: 1300.00 /1311.80 /1380.00 Actions Polyus Gold during yesterday's session showed obscherynochnuyu momentum, but the interest of market participants to the shares of other sectors has contributed to low sales in the shares. As a result, on the day shares closed lower market. Support was made by the level of 50%-term correction of Fibonacci from historic highs. At the end of the session shares lost 0.564%, completing the day at 1,269.99 rubles. External signals are neutral to start the bidding, so the opening is seen near the closing levels of yesterday's session. The slight increase in the gold futures and the interest of market participants to the shares as a defensive tool in the correction, which can be triggered by negative changes in the Chinese index is able to support the company quotes. The nearest resistance is on the border of the short-term ascending channel. To reduce the position to recommend the shares of 1300 EUR. The nearest support, which is a form of position on the shares, is at 50%-term correction of Fibonacci from historic highs. Gazprom nearest support levels: 163.40 /162.40 /160.00 nearest resistance levels: 170.00 /171.40 /179.20 Shares of Gazprom in the course of yesterday's session showed obscherynochnuyu momentum, following the quotations of oil and otygryvaya macroeconomic statistics from the United States. At the finish pushed shares of the minima of the day, to close at 165.98, which is 0.777% above the previous closing. Following the closure of the trading on the Russian stock market situation on the commodity market has not changed significantly, and the quotations of oil down slightly skorrektirvoalis. The opening promises to be neutral. To reduce the level of the position is 170 rubles. Create the position of the stock I recommend to the level of 50%-term correction of Fibonacci from the maximum annual levels. Company Surrounding levels of support: 1526.00 /1500.00 /1468.00 nearest resistance levels: 1580.00 /1600.00 /1610.00 Shares Lukoil during yesterday's session showed a high volatility, moving in a fairly wide price corridor. At the end of the day shares closed at 21-day moving average, adding 0.328%. External signals are neutral, resulting in a neutral start of trading session near yesterday's closing levels. The nearest support for the formation of positions on the stock is near 50% Term of the Fibonacci correction of the maximum annual levels. To reduce the position to recommend actions to the level of 61,8%-term correction of Fibonacci in the region of 1580 rubles. Savings Bank nearest support levels: 47.70 /47.10 /46.50 nearest resistance levels: 48.80 /49.50 /50.00 negative macroeconomic statistics from the United States resulted in a decrease in quotations of shares of banking sector, but at the finish of the trading in the shares managed to go plus the powerful cannon from the level of support. At the end of the day shares added 0.649%, closing the day at EUR 48.06. The opening promises to be neutral, as a result of the action will occur near the closing levels of yesterday. In days of negative signals within shares may test support in the region of EUR 47.10., Where the open positions on speculative stocks. Positive signals allow stocks to return to the upper boundary of the short channel, which is to reduce the stock position. VTB Surrounding levels of support: 4,15 /4,00 nearest resistance levels: 4,32 /4,50 Shares VTB at yesterday's session looked at the market, but an attempt to return to the medium-term upward channel was unsuccessful, and on the day of action came under the lower limit. At the end of the day shares added 1,184%, to close at 4.27 cop. Open Market promises to be neutral, leading to the opening near the closing levels of yesterday's session. The nearest support, which is a form of speculative positions in the purchase, is in the area of 4,15 cop. To reduce the position to recommend the shares of the lower limit of short-term ascending channel. Authorize and appreciate the story;; 3 users rated material at 3. Analyst Ratings
The Russian stock market on Thursday continued to show vysokovolatilnuyu dynamic range of quotations of shares at the most liquid securities. RTS RTSI) to the outcome of yesterday rose to 2.87% on the value of its closure at the end of the previous trading day. When the index of the MICEX trading session up 1.3%. The combined turnover of trades on the Russian stock market fell slightly yesterday, and were 6% higher than average values for this indicator. Most positively to the dynamics of the RTS index RTSI yesterday increasing impact on the RTS stock prices Lukoil, Rosneft, Gazprom and Sberbank. At the closing of trading session, the RTS index RTSI rose to mark the point at 1054.57. The index of 2-tier RTS-2 yesterday rose 0.78% to a mark of 932.08 points. The positive effect on the dynamics of the index yesterday had grown up stock quotes, OGK-4, a magnet and the coal company Raspadskaya. negative impact on the index falling stock quotations AvtoVAZ and TGC-1. Most of the trading session on the domestic stock market on Thursday was marked by growth, which supports the positive dynamics of European stock indexes and futures on U.S. indices. In doing so, the greatest positive impact on the RTS index yesterday had a quotation of shares increasing in the oil and gas sector, which is driven by rising oil prices. Oil prices rose on Thursday after receiving podderzhkuot Forecasting International Energy Agency (IEA), which has revised upwards its estimates for world oil demand. Under the new updated data, demand in 2010 will amount to 83.94 million barrels. per day, which is 190 thousand barrels. more than the previous July's projections. My review of the indicators in the IEA explain signs of recovery in the global economy and, above all, the continuing growth of China's economy. In the IEA notes that the additional demand will be covered with non-member countries of OPEC, and especially Russia. Rise quotations Transneft preferred shares (18.9%), yesterday was the decision of MSCI Barra to return the country code and the global MSCI Russia MSCI EM index of these shares were excluded from them in November 2008 should be noted that the weight privilegirovannyhaktsy Transneft index virtually unchanged: 0.5% in the MSCI Russia (it was 0.48%) and 0.03% in the MSCI EM (0,03%). We believe that Transneft shares attractive with a fundamental point of view and look forward to increase their quotes in the long run. high amplitude fluctuations of quotations of Russian stocks led yesterday left at 16:30 Moscow time data U.S. macroeconomic statistics on retail sales and the labor market, which were significantly worse than market expectations. In a few minutes stock quotes proseli 2-3%, but still remained as a result of the day in the black. In the context of the hybrid dynamics of world stock indices, we now expect to see fluctuations in the index RTS RTSI sideways range. Authorize and appreciate the story;; Your grade will be the first! Analyst Ratings
USD Once again, the confusion in the markets. Left much worse than forecasts of data for retail sales have put pressure ... on the dollar - traders at the time forgot to flee from risky positions. Nevertheless, the reaction was relatively muted, which caused us surprise: the consumer sector, with its costs remain the basis of the American economy. So, look at the reasons for the strange dynamics. It seems that here we are simply witnessing the imposition of positive and negative data, which neytralizuya each other, had little reaction. The reduction of retail sales is contrary to recent forecasts and expectations Fedrezerva, and in general has questioned the reality ofthe restoration of U.S. economy. It seems that consumers are not in a hurry to go on spending and programs to encourage the purchase of automobiles will likely have only a brief and limited impact on the data coming months. It is necessary to take into account the rise and oil and thus gasoline, which also affect the revenues of petrol stations. Now statistics. The volume of retail sales for the United States last month fell by 0.1%. Demand for goods excluding cars significantly weakened, with the most stores have reported a strong decline in household goods and electronics. Meanwhile, U.S. import prices last month for the first time since the beginning of this year showed declines, as falling crude oil costs have put pressure on inflation. In June, import prices fell by 0.7%, showing the first negative value since January this year. And according to figures released by the U.S. Department of Labor, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the week to August 8, increased by 4 thousand to 558 thousand after the decline during the 6 weeks, last week 4-week average of initial applications, taking into account seasonal variations increased by 8 500 to 565 thousand Despite the fact that it was a full week, a stream of economic indicators have not yet exhausted. Today we get the data on inflation and consumer confidence promproizvodstvu. Ironically, the greatest interest to the foreign exchange market are the latter - the people is a pillar of the U.S. economy and is crucial in determining the economic outlook. Regarding the CPI, taking into account the recent decline in the prices of imports are likely to inflationary pressures remain weak. However, even if it is strengthened, it is unlikely that this will have great influence on the market - at Fedrezerva are other priorities. With respect to the foreign exchange market were moderate probability of movements at the end of the working week, especially given that the key events of this month is over. EUR euro illusion demonstrates the wonders technology: according to the latest figures show that Germany and France have already emerged from a period of recession, which is contrary to IMF projections, which argued that the Eurozone will continue to experience a recession in 2010.
Russian media reveal the details of yesterday's message, according to which, Magna and GM have settled all the fundamental differences concerning the purchase of Opel, and an agreement on a deal ready for signing. In particular, as Kommersant , Magna agreed to abandon its key demands - the right to full use of intellectual property Opel. In the past Magna and Sberbank in the ultimatum demanded that buyers of a controlling stake have the right to use its brand, technology and practices and make changes to the design of the car without an agreement. Otherwise, the consortium threatened to abandon negotiations. Magna now changed its view and is prepared to buy and collect its Opel cars in Russia under license agreements with GM. In addition, Magna is going to make a commitment not to transfer it sold under the license of technology to anyone except the group GAZ. At the same time, according to analysts, if Magna truly renounced the right to full use of technologies, Opel, it is - bad news because without this transaction, which is seen as part of the process of integrating Russia into the European economy, what - is meaningless.
start trading in the neutral zone U.S. Stocks rose again on Thursday. The index aims to complete the SP is already the fifth week of recovery. During a strong growing trend, investors always prefer to turn a blind eye to clear the negative and focus only on the positive. So it was yesterday. Dismal performance of retail sales and bad data from the labor market have been ignored, on the contrary profit Wal-Mart Stores and the reduction of business inventories in the U.S. in June, were taken by the stock exchange bulls. aside sentimentality can be said that the exchanges are a lot of cheap money. They warm themselves and then share prices and raise commodity prices. Credit spreads narrowed to levels that have been bankrupt Lehman Brothers, as an indicator of volatility (VIX) is traded on the levels of mid-September last year. Following this logic, S P500 index could rise to levels of previous bankruptcy of Lehman - it is 1200 points, that is still up about 15% from current levels. Today's trading in Asia do not have a single dynamic movement of stock indices. Most of the stock indexes traded in the black, while indexes in Shanghai again, investors are concerned by its 2.5% fall. The pair euro /dollar this morning reached a maximum of $ 1.4304, and then revert to a level of 1.4260. Market participants continue to otygryvat the idea of a weak dollar, resulting in a permanent demand for raw materials in product markets. Against this backdrop, prices of Brent crude oil show a surprising stability, selling a little below the $ 74/barr. The opening bid on the Russian stock market on Friday, we will see near the closing levels of the previous trading day. Keeping careful, I think it makes sense to continue to trade on commodity purchases of securities firms: that is, buy them in times of prosadok quotations, as has been repeated throughout the week. This afternoon we are waiting for the MICEX index by 1110 points mark. Happy await the publication of data from the U.S. consumer price index (16-30 Moscow time), went 17-15 in the July data on industrial output (forecast: 0.2% m /m) and capacity utilization (forecast: 68.1%). And finally, the traditional volatility of the market yield of 17-55 August data on an index of consumer sentiment, University of Michigan (forecast: 69.0). Let's hope that they will be better than expectations and we will close one more week of good growth. Authorize and appreciate the story;; 1 users rated material 5. Analyst Ratings