FOREX and Financial Crisis

Recall that at the end of last week, the Finance Ministry changed its order of leadership at the mill. And at six in the morning on Monday, according to deputies from the Party of Regions, there burst into the police and began to destroy everything. Sami "the Regionals, despite such an early hour watching the capture plant, claiming that they knew about him on Friday. In their version of misconduct around the plant "Ukraine" were committed BYuT willing to print an additional half million ballots, then to falsify the election results. Interior Minister Yuriy Lutsenko states that"it is not on the ballot, we are talking about defending the business, close to the Party of Regions. Neither of which additional circulation (papers) can be no question. " According to him, "the fact is that the Polygraph" Ukraine ", in particular, printing passports and other documents of strict accountability for public use. MIA actually blamed the conflict deputy Vasyl HRYTSAK close to the consortium EGAPS, who allegedly refused to print a passport in January, as a result we now have 60 thousand people have paid money, but can not obtain a passport, because EGAPS effectively using its monopoly position and influence in the former director of printing plant "Ukraine", refused to meet its obligations without prepayment. Can Ukraine secretly print, say, a half million ballots and inject them into the ballot box to "bridge the gap" in the polls? If so, how? On this we asked the experts. can disrupt the elections on separate sites Alexander Chernenko, chairman of the Committee of Voters of Ukraine: very problematic unnoticed dopechatat a half million ballots. That"s several tons of paper! Because the alleged dopechatyvanie ballots - is nothing more than fiction. Also can not imagine how such a number of ballots thrown into the ballot box. Plus we should not forget that in every way via newsletter in hard copy printed parcel number and county. Another thing: Is it possible, controlling plant "Ukraine" does not print enough ballots, or print them on time, or just pack ballots for one area in the package to another. And if the numbers do not coincide with the number of plot is automatically invalidated the vote. Therefore, if we are talking about control plant "Ukraine", then it is not because of the possibility to print extra ballots as to disrupt the elections in some areas - by a lack of ballots, or delays in printing. "s impossible! "Ukraine" - a secure object Andrew Mager, Vice Chairman of the CEC I"m already tired of repeating that it is impossible to print additional ballots, because the Polygraph "Ukraine" - is a secure object, which is not as simple as someone somewhere believes implement additional printing of ballot papers except under a contract between the CEC and combine. Then these sheets with the company pouches are delivered to the relevant constituencies and the representative of the CEC protocol transmits such ballots territorial election commission at its meeting. Because abuse is somehow impossible. I am not an expert on rigging Sergey Kivalov, ex-chairman of the CEC (conveyed through his press secretary) I am not an expert on rigging. I do not know the plans of our opponents. In the media heard reports that the team of Prime Minister attempted to illegally change the leadership of the plant "Ukraine" to print an additional 1.5 million ballots. Everybody realizes if print extra money, then the state will begin inflation. And if in such a huge number of extra ballot papers will appear, it will lead to chaos and destabilize the electoral process. Moreover, this extra weight papers can be applied in different ways, including as a provocation against our political strength. By analogy with the banknotes, the most important in the production of ballots - a matrix with which they are printed.

Americans spilling down. The only hope for "bulls" - on today"s GDP data Americans yesterday still could not resist. Fall on major stock indicators exceeded 1%, Index S P500 updated at least the previous day, falling below the 100-day moving average. Given that the S P500 futures traded to a further decrease of 0.5% and falling Asian stock indicators in individual cases (Nikkei and KOSPI) exceed 2%, the prospect of opening of tenders in Russia is not happy. This confirms our view that talking about the end of a downward correction in Russia"s stock market, as well as on world stock markets, is premature. Expected tonight, the first official estimates of GDP growth in the U.S. 4 square. 2009, of course, can radically change the mood in the market. Everything will depend on how close to published figures will be close to the optimistic forecasts, JPMorgan (5.7%) and Goldman Sachs (5.8%), which differ substantially from the consensus (4.7%). Recommend a medium-term investors to stay in the cache, and the speculators to close open 2-3 days ago Longhi. log in and see the material;; 1; user rated material at 3.

Its revenue in 2009 increased by 3,7% - to $ 190 billion, and profit - by 8%, to $ 110 billion, the Italian authorities have promised to enhance hit mafia forfeiture. Italian association of small and medium business Confesercenti provided data on the financial status of organized crime. Revenues criminal syndicates were higher sales of the country"s largest companies - oil corporation Eni SpA, and were equal to almost 9% of GDP. Bum around the business of the Italian mafia is taking place at what is happening in the country"s financial crisis and 4,8% the first economic downturn. Experts estimate made based on data from police, businessmen and mafia informants in the environment, basic earnings ($ 95 billion) in criminal clans of Italy received from drug trafficking, people and weapons, as well as smuggling. In second place - government contracts, an underground gambling, counterfeiting money and documents, as well as the illegal supply of labor ($ 35 billion) Kryshuya about 20 thousand companies, organized crime groups have earned $ 33 billion on extortion and usury. At the robbery and fraud, had $ 1.4 billion and $ 840 million - for prostitution. "Mafia inkorporeyshn" is not afraid and did not even know about the crisis. There is a risk that the mafia can take advantage of temporary difficulties of big business, suffer from a lack of liquidity in the stock market to gain control over it, "- wrote the Roman antiprestupnaya organization SOS Impresa. success Mafia experts explain the fact that crime syndicates have a large reserve of cash, which is especially appreciated at a time when banks have frozen lending. According to experts, the syndicate ndrangeta Calabrian, Sicilian - Cosa Nostra, the Neapolitan - Camorra and the Apulian - Sacra Corona Unita - in 2009 have become more sought alternative to bank lending.

external environment continues to deteriorate On Thursday, Russia"s stock market managed to end the day in positive territory (MICEX trade results grew by 1.1%), with the growth of domestic market could not even enough to prevent significant deterioration in global stock pads after the publication of negative data on the labor market in the United States. Good demand for the newly observed in the steel sector: Severstal (6%), NLMK (5%), Raspadskaya (3%), while worse than the market looked like paper producers of precious metals - Pole and polymetallic, lost 1% in a growing market . The American stock market was closed again yesterday in a notable disadvantage: in the fall of the leaders this time were the stocks of technology companies on a background of weak reporting by Motorola and some disappointment provided the dafd4y before yesterday novelty Apple. Following the strengthening of the dollar to a six-month peak against the euro continued to slide down commodity prices: the market could not support even the news about the confidence pereutverzhdenii Senate candidate B. Bernanke to head Fed. This morning the picture on the world markets again seems rather sad: the majority of Asian sites, as well as futures on U.S. stock indexes traded in significant minus. log in and see the material;; 2; user rated material on 2,5. Analyst Ratings

  Thursday, January 28, the main share indexes of Latin America have finished day with multidirectional dynamics. indicator of equity market of Brazil Bovespa rose by 0,8% to a mark of 65 587.81 points. Brazilian Real with weakened to 0.38% to 1,866 reais per dollar. strong support markets has reduced unemployment in the country in December to a record low 6.8%, and the words of representatives of Bank of America that the key interest rate Brazil will remain at a minimum value until June of this year. Shares steelmaker CSN have added 2.9%, while its rival Usiminas increased by 2.4% on expectations of strengthening demand for cars and homes due to low interest rates and the stabilization of the labor market. Quotes bank Itau Unibanco Holding jumped 3%, while the owner of the largest in Latin America Stock Exchange BM FBovespa became heavier at 3.3%. Papers cargo container terminal operator Santos Brasil Participacoes, however, have fallen by 6,1% against the publication of 4 quarter loss of $ 5.3 million reais ($ 2.83 million), against analysts expected profit of 16.3 million reais .

As you know, I"m on Fridays not traded actively. And if you happen on this day some Movements in my trading accounts, it is only because that triggered the suspension of mechanical protection by the "blue chips". Or I manually close the position on the paper "second tier", if they dropped support for the landmark, and has already expired temporary filter, given the fact that they change their mind. Although today, looking at the external news background, I"m not sure that I can fulfill this rule their trading strategy. If we succeed, I would like to "hook" with an eye on next week Gazprom shares in the 177/176 rubles. But not the whole amount, planned to spend on these shares, but only one-third. Since, in my opinion, no matter how the events developed in our stock market, shares of "Gazprom" will still try to go to the more important support 170/169 rubles. still attractive for me to look in speculative securities of FGC UES, while they are more expensive than the level of 0,329 rubles, shares of Transneft over 23800/23600 support the ruble. And in the speculative, and with an eye on the medium term, I would have considered the paper "Polyus Gold" on the level of 1480 rubles. Especially the opening of trading yesterday, shares of the company, between the case clearly asserted themselves, shooting higher local resistance to 1,550 rubles. However, before the trading session, there is still time to think and to build a precise trading plan. Most likely, I will put a "trap" for buying and I will deal with their backlog of chores per week - will bring in the order of the analyst on the site, will produce a weekly review, read the new students a lecture about the beloved figure of technical analysis. And I have one very important thing. Yesterday is dead, the great American writer Jerome Salinger. He created many stories and novels, including my favorite "The Catcher in the Rye", which is too poppy, which is too naive. But it"s very favorite. Eh, if not routine, I"d fallen in with a book on a comfortable leather couch, to pay tribute to the great artists. But, alas, in the workplace - this is not acceptable. Although, to include quietly in the player audiobook me no harm. And no matter how formed trading day, I"ll be nice to smile when the main character will pronounce its refrain of the phrase: "Hmm, well, kill" in response to the comments of his small, but wise beyond his years sisters. log in and see the material;; Your score will be the first! Analyst Ratings

World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, held from January 28 to February 1, 2010, opened in the best traditions of the global economic crisis.   renowned economist Professor of Economics at New York University, Nouriel Roubini, who predicted at the time the offensive of the current crisis and thus earned the reputation of economic soothsayer, made a new outlook. At the morning session of the Forum Roubini said the economic problems of Spain and Greece will blow up the euro area and two years later, the single European currency will cease to exist.   According to the economist, the main threat to the euro is the financial situation in one of the 16 eurozone countries - Spain. Is it not better things in Greece. Economies of these countries suffer from imbalances in the sector of public finances, but also because of the declining competitiveness of their products and services. Thus participation of these countries in the euro area excludes the possibility to correct the economic situation through the devaluation of individual currencies.   recall, the budget deficit of Greece more than four times the prescribed rate for the eurozone countries - 3% of GDP. Public debt of the country received more than twice the norm and is more than € 300 billion, or about 125% of GDP. This is the maximum value for the whole eurozone.   European Commission stated that the steps taken by the Greek Government to reduce the state budget deficit, are insufficient. Despite the successful auction held on Monday on state bonds, in which the authorities of the country managed to attract € 8 billion on Wednesday, the yield on them reached their highest since December 1999 level.

January 28 Gazprom and Rostekhnologii signed a cooperation agreement aimed at coordinating the actions of the parties in the development, production and delivery organizations of the Civil Code Rostekhnologii modern hi-tech import-substituting equipment and other products for Gazprom. The document envisages the creation of conditions for the use of scientific and technological capabilities of leading organizations GC Rostekhnologii in the production of Gazprom, its subsidiaries and organizations, the company reported. The Parties shall cooperate in the formation of proposals and implementation of activities for the organization of production and supply of equipment and products for Gazprom. important directions of cooperation of the parties will carry out works on modernization of the existing range of gas turbine technology, and ensuring the effective operation of existing industrial and technological complexes (in particular, the improvement of technical means for diagnostics of gas facilities and the development and introduction of new technologies and equipment for energy facilities JSC "Gazprom"). Gazprom and GC Rostekhnologii will cooperate in the formation and implementation of innovative projects throughout the processing chain of the gas industry: the development of gas fields, the system of gas transportation, processing of gas and gas condensate, information and telecommunication technology, it is noted in the message .

 At the world"s stock markets yesterday, there will be no dynamics. European markets fell on average by 1%. U.S. stock indicators, despite the weak statistics, completed trades in the positive zone. The reason for the improvement of the situation was the outcome of the Fed meeting, at which it was decided to keep the base interest rate at a minimal level even longer period of time. In addition, Barack Obama, speaking in Congress, called to introduce additional tax breaks, as well as increased government expenditure in order to support the U.S. economy. Indices Asia-Pacific region closed growth this morning, the Japanese Nikkei 225 ended the trading session 1.58%. U.S. futures also grew up this morning. On this optimistic backdrop, most Russian stocks opened higher. At 16.30 IST the leaders enhance the action of the banking sector: an Sberbank (2.7%), VTB cs (3,9%), as well as shares RusHydro, which added 3.89% to yesterday"s close. Quotes of oil remain under pressure, which is one of the major constraints on growth in the Russia market. Oil looks weak, respectively, strengthens their position the U.S. dollar. At this conjuncture the MICEX index went up to his local resistance to 1,420 items, RTS index has reached the lower limit of resistance 1480-1500 and 16.30 IST traded at around 1,475 points. At 16.30 came from the U.S. statistics on the number of requests for unemployment benefits - the number of applications for unemployment benefits fell by 8 thousand, predicted a decline of 32 thousand Also out data on orders for durable goods: in December they increased by 0,3%, is expected to grow by 2%. Despite the fact that the statistics came out clearly unfavorable for growth, sales of active sites in the world is not observed. Russia"s participants also behave quite restrained in this situation - seems to have great hope for growth. In the case of resumption of positive and penetration in the top level of the MICEX index points in 1420 can expect an ambitious attempt to breakdown of the January 1491 peak point. When pessimism prevails, and the indices go down, it"s likely to try again support the December 1360 test points. Recommendations for investors focused on short-term - no position. Recommendations for investors, focused on the medium term - without a position. High profitability - the result of a successful trading strategy. Choose the appropriate strategy in the Trade Center. log in and see the material;;

U.S. market throughout the session on Thursday to pick up, but could in the last hour of trading to make a leap up by 1%. Committee U.S. Federal Reserve Open Market has once again stated that he would keep "interest rates at extremely low levels for a long time," and February 1 as scheduled, will be closed a number of programs quantitative easing. The Fed believes that the conditions in the financial markets are improving and can reduce the amount of financial assistance. Barack Obama, in turn, in the keynote speech before Congress, said he would fight the budget deficit, in this connection will still be carried out health care reform that is causing much debate in the United States. In addition, the U.S. president expressed support for small business (for this purpose will be to send $ 30 billion, returned to the major financial companies in the program TARP) and conservation tax incentives. Obama"s statements supported the dollar, which traded at a maximum for the last 6 months. The growth of the dollar, however, does not bother investors, in addition to the stock markets and rising oil prices, futures 0.8%. Meanwhile, oil prices fell yesterday, despite a sharp reduction in stocks in the United States. Last week, oil fell by 3.9 million barrels., At the time, as analysts predicted the growth of oil reserves at 2.0 million Russia market is reacting briskly to improve the external background, adding about 2%. Positive European markets are much more restrained, the indices in positive territory at 0.5-0.8%. As leaders of the growth of bank shares. Barclays 4%, Royal Bank of Scotland 3.1%, Deutsche Bank 2.7%. In our favorites, listed in shares metallurgists. 6.2% of Severstal, NLMK 4.5%, TMK 4.3%. The second day running among the leaders of shares RusHydro 3.8%, which are supported by reports about the launch in the I quarter of this year, two rehabilitated hydropower Sayano-Shushenskaya GES. The positive dynamics of oil futures (which we no longer observed) positive effect on share prices of oil and gas companies. Surgutneftegas 2.6%, 2.5% Rosneft, Lukoil 2.1%, 1.9% of Gazprom. In the United States at 16:30 will be released from the labor market statistics on applications for unemployment benefits and orders for durable goods. If the positive dynamics of American futures continue, the market could be added, but the negative statistics greatly undermine the prospect of a quick recovery. understand how strong and long-term will be the current recovery will help the U.S. GDP data for the IV quarter, to be released tomorrow. The assessment will be provisional and, as we know, certainly a change (remember the III quarter), but the reaction of the players can be stormy. We are also very important, as oil prices behave. If you decline to a halt and stabilize oil prices near $ 75 level, Russia"s market can resume growth and reach new levels. If oil will mark down $ 70, major sales are unlikely to be avoided. log in and see the material;; 1; user rated material 5. Analyst Ratings