Lukoil trend Short Medium Long-Term neutral neutral neutral The level of support 1570 - 1600 1480 - 1560 1410 - 1500 Resistance 1670 - 1700 1760 - 1840 1870 - 1960 Recommendations No position. Notes ; Norilsk Nickel trend Short Medium Long-Term neutral neutral improvement The level of support 4360 - 4490 4310 - 4500 3700 - 3860 Resistance 4730 - 4840 5210 - 5340 5570 - 5920 Recommendations Bring to stop an application to market prices. Notes ; Rostelecom trend Short Medium Long-Term neutral lowering neutral The level of support 143.30 - 145.20 135.90 - 143.00 120.20 - 131.00 Resistance 150.10 - 153.10 173.20 - 184.40 195.00 - 210.00 Recommendations Bring to stop an application to market prices. Notes ; Gazprom trend Short Medium Long-Term neutral neutral improvement The level of support 175.40 - 178.70 164.50 - 171.50 122.00 - 145.00 Resistance 187.30 - 190.60 195.50 - 200.50 216.00 - 225.00 Recommendations Bring to stop an application to market prices. Notes ; Mosenergo trend Short Medium Long-Term neutral improvement improvement The level of support 3.430 - 3.500 3.000 - 3.250 2.330 - 2.560 Resistance 3.800 - 3.880 4.130 - 4.260 4.270 - 4.650 Recommendations Bring to stop an application to market prices. Notes Paper bought out the medium. Surgutneftegaz trend Short Medium Long-Term lowering neutral neutral The level of support 24.60 - 24.90 23.80 - 24.60 22.10 - 23.40 Resistance 26.10 - 26.40 29.00 - 29.80 30.00 - 32.10 Recommendations No position. Notes ; Savings Bank trend Short Medium Long-Term neutral improvement improvement The level of support 82.20 - 83.60 77.30 - 81.50 63.90 - 73.00 Resistance 88.10 - 89.50 95.00 - 97.50 98.90 - 109.70 Recommendations Bring to stop an application to market prices. Notes Paper bought out the medium. log in and see the material;; 4; user rated material on 2,8. Analyst Ratings
Harvest "bulls" in the shares of Severstal and Rosneft was abundant By 14.20 the growth of the MICEX Index was 1.77%. I will say in confidence that the stock market is more useful if the MICEX index dropped 1,310 points in the area. It was easier to grow, and now we are practically doomed to "dynamic buttons" index. Perhaps the "corridor dynamics" in the narrow corridor 1370 - 1410 points on the MICEX index, perhaps the corridor will be wider: 1360 - 1420 points, but the dynamics of the corridor will continue. Now for the bulls too many questions. The main issue: the stock market linked to the oil market, and until May, oil prices will drop to the area of $ 65 dollars per barrel ... Reduction below this level is unlikely $ 65 a barrel means that ... eternal halva for bulls will not. The acts Rosneft bulls abundant harvest of 2,6%. After the Ministry of Natural Resources announced the opening of the company "Rosneft" a large deposit of oil, "Savostyanova" it became clear that the strategic seller who sold the second consecutive day on 50000 - 100000 shares will go to strontium. Marshall Plan to save the bulls not potrebovalcya and magnetic belts of the Earth remained in place. If the company "Rosneft" will not develop this deposit in the coming years, the positive in a 6% increment to the existing resource base will remain. Strategic seller is gone, and we expect to achieve the first major resistance level is 245. The situation around the redirection of head FRS the USA remains uncertain. By American bulls I have many questions, because support for 9950 on the DJIA index have not yet tested. DJIA index may rise to the level of resistance to 10350 points, but further growth prospects bleak. We all construct! log in and see the material;; 5; users rated material on 3,8. Analyst Ratings
On Thursday, the restoration of Russia"s stock market after a long fall may continue. The reason for this will be a positive reaction of global markets to summarize the meeting held on the Fed. the federal funds rate was maintained at the same level of 0-0.25% per annum, with the passage, that this situation will continue for a long time, was not subjected to correction. Also, do not become "touched" by the representatives of FOMC discount rate, as expected by some experts. At the same time the Fed reaffirmed their commitment to previously stated plans for the removal of additional measures to stimulate the economy: stop the program redemption of debt securities secured by mortgage and agency securities by March 31, as well as a number of programs to provide liquidity to February 1. Together with a slightly more optimistic assessment of what is happening to the economy of investment companies and employment is allowed to believe that Mr. Bernanke and his colleagues have become increasingly convinced that economic recovery is sustainable. The fact that the decision to leave interest rates at the same level it was not unanimous - advocated for raising the head of the FBI in Kansas, Thomas Hoenig, the mood of a particular way does not affect (SP 500 0.49%). Futures on interest rates reflected a slight increase in the chances of ending the policy of low interest rates, which can be expected to occur with a probability of more than 50% only in November.
This was reported by the International Labor Organization (ILO). In 2009, lost their jobs 27 million people, giving way for the socialist appeals. the opening day of the 40 th World Economic Forum, the ILO published a report on the labor market, based on the statistics of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). ILO Guidelines plans to urge world leaders to apply to the problem of unemployment the same incentives, through which in 2009 together they have prevented the collapse of the banking system. "When will convene in Davos economic forum, it becomes clear that the trends are reversed, and the main political priority today must be to combat unemployment. The number of unemployed people in 2009 reached 212 million, an increase compared to pre-crisis 2007 on an unprecedented 34 million we need to approach the issue of retention and earnings of people with exactly the same determination as in the case of saving banks. This can be achieved successfully combining public policy and private investment program, "- said ILO Director-General Juan Somavia . World unemployment, according to ILO estimates, increased by 0,9 percentage points and an average of 6,6%, varying by region. For example, in East Asia, its rate is relatively low - 4.4%, while in Central and Southeastern Europe, as well as in North Africa, unemployment exceeds 10% threshold. The situation is compounded by the fact that 633 million people although they have a job, but live on less than $ 1.25 a day. More about 215 million employed people in 2009 teetered on the brink of poverty, at the risk of falling into poverty. Observations ILO identified several disturbing trends. Organization pays particular attention to the problem of acute shortage of jobs for young people. The unemployment rate in this segment jumped by 1.6 percentage points, to 13,4%.
At 13.00 Moscow time the value of the MICEX Index reached 1423.04. Compared with the previous day"s close, it rose by 31.79 subsection (2.285%). The turnover of trading on the MICEX Stock Exchange amounted to 73722.7 million rubles. MICEX Oil Gas Index - rose 59.74 subsection (2.694%) to Section 2277.29, MICEX Power Index - rose 82.95 subsection (3.193%) to Section 2680.89, MICEX Telecommunication Index - rose to 107.24 § (1.977%) to Section 5530.84, MICEX Metals and Mining Index - rose 57.31 subsection (2.273%) to Section 2578.64, MICEX Manufacturing Index - fell to 0.02 part (0.021%) to § 96.14, MICEX Financials Index - grew by 95.97 subsection (2.092%) to Section 4682.91, MICEX Consumer Goods and Services Index - rose 40.68 subsection (1.152%) to Section 3572.83, MICEX Chemicals Index - rose 95.97 subsection (2.092%) to § 4682.91 MICEX Large Cap Index - rose 48.45 subsection (2.139%) to Section 2313.57, MICEX Mid Cap Index - rose 25.98 subsection (1.381%) to Section 1906.7, MICEX Start Cap Ineeddex - rose to 105.54 n. (2.782%) to 3899.65 p. The stock price of Gazprom JSC, GMKNorNik, Rosneft, Sberbank, Sberbank-n rose 1.687%, 1.472%, 3.482%, 1.951%, 2.847%, respectively. log in and see the material;; 1; user rated material 5. Analyst Ratings
Dynamics U.S. dollar strengthened on the basis of the Fed meeting, but later lost some of the conquered positions. When the pair EUR /USD fell below 1.4000 marks, the pair GBP /USD remains in the same range of about 1.6100, and the pair USD /CHF broke a mark 1.0500. Japan also fell against other currencies. When the pair USD /JPY back to a mark of 90.00, and the pair EUR /JPY rebounded above 126.00. Commodity currencies remain in the ranges against the U.S. dollar. Thus, the pair AUD /USD remains slightly below the 0.9000, the pair NZD /USD traded below 0.7100, and the pair USD /CAD remains slightly higher than 1.0600. Causes results of voting and the accompanying statement the Fed returned to the agenda of the expectations of higher interest rates, despite the fact that they were near zero. However, against this decision to vote one member of the Operations Committee on the Fed"s open market. In addition, the Committee reiterated that the intention, according to a plan to complete the purchase of mortgage-backed securities at the end of March, and to close most of the emergency credit line by February 1. Also, the Federal Reserve replaced the phrase about the fact that the economy is "likely to remain weak for some time," the wording "the pace of economic recovery are likely to be moderate for some time." And, finally, the announcement of the termination of the swap agreements between the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Swiss central bank also supports the view that the U.S. economy is on the road to recovery. Nevertheless, after the announcement of the outcome of the Fed meeting did not happen over-strengthening of the U.S. dollar, and after the futures on the shares began to rise, he lost some of the conquered positions.
In Wednesday trading on Russia"s stock market reopened lower quotations, but in anticipation of the outcome of the Fed meeting and speeches Barack Obama in the U.S. Congress and amid sagging in anticipation of these developments, volatility in foreign markets "bears" were not prepared to continue the offensive, and from noon Russia"s stock market started to win back the morning losses by mid-session, went into a plus, but towards the end of the day, even tried to go back above 1400 points - but could not keep above this important level because of the bad output statistics in the United States. As a result, growth of the MICEX Index was 0.47%, to 1391.25 points. In the market leaders on the results of the day came the power sector, demand for shares used as the network and generating segments, leading to increase in steel shares of OGK-1 (9,35%), in terms of turnover - RusHydro (5.2%) . The press service of the latter reported that RusHydro was planning to launch hydropower number 5 and number 6 Sayano-Shushenskaya GES in I quarter, and the state waterworks Sayano-Shushenskaya GES is not serious. also better than the market looked like the telecommunications sector. The plus-up to the very volatile trading and shares were both the largest banks (Sberbank ordinary 0,93%, 2,9% preference shares, VTB 1,41%). In commodities dynamics different directions, while the outsiders were once again shares Rosneft (-1.86%). Expectations for today: the external background today is ambiguous for Russia"s market: the stock markets after several days of declines shaped rebound upward, while at the same time, the continuing decline of quotations on commodity markets. Judging by the dynamics of recent weeks, the first factor is the short term, a more important benchmark for Russian players, so it can be assumed that this attempt to return to 1400 to mark the MICEX index will be more successful. Expectations for the United States market for today: Today the attention of investors will once again be focused not for publication statistic da1000ta (orders for durable goods, primary and secondary unemployment), and the situation around the re-election BS Bernanke. Today, late in the Congress would begin debate on the nomination acting head of the U.S. Federal Reserve. The outcome of the vote could be known for tonight, but if the debate drags on, the final approval of the candidate for the post may have held only on Friday. Despite the fact that the administration of U.S. President has taken all necessary measures to support the popularity of Mr. Bernanke and his powers would be extended for a further 4 years, nervousness in the markets will still be present. But overall U.S. stock market is still at a crossroads: the market participants can not yet determine the fact whether it is high time for a negative correction or a market there is still potential for further growth in the short term. log in and see the material;; Your score will be the first! Analyst Ratings
SIBUR signed a contract with the Japanese company Yokogawa Electric CIS "on deliveries within three years of equipment for automation of petrochemical industries. previous agreement between the companies was signed in 2006 and provided for the supply of equipment for automated process control systems (DCS) and instrumentation and automation (equipment). In the years 2005-2009 about 60% of new equipment for the automation of factories of the holding was delivered in partnership with a Japanese company. As a result of cooperation "Sibur" and "Yokogawa Electric CIS were automated and modernized management system at the Kemerovo Azot, South Balyksky GIC," Uralorgsintez "," Tobolsk-Polymer, "Togliattikauchuk and Voronezhsintezkauchuk." Under the new agreement, "Yokogawa Electric CIS" increases to "Sibur" range of equipment provided at special prices, extends the manufacturer"s warranty and significantly improves the terms of payment.
Voltage on the financial markets that have prevailed in recent weeks, it seems somewhat weaker. In his speech yesterday before Congress, U.S. President Barack Obama said he was not interested in punishing American banks for the crisis occurred, although it will oppose any bill to reform the financial system, which would be "too weak". He also promised the Americans that will restore the growth of employment, limit the widening budget deficit and double exports over the next five years. According to Barack Obama, offered them health care reform would allow the United States to reduce the budget deficit to $ 1 trillion. within the next 20 years. However, such an approach to solving the budget problem "will allow Americans to have insurance to keep your doctor and your insurance plan. It will help to reduce health care costs for millions of families and businesses." The same goal - reducing the budget deficit, currently $ 1.4 trillion. - On "Obama"s plan, the budget reduction package of spending federal agencies, which is now estimated at $ 0.477 trillion. The U.S. Federal Reserve yesterday left its key interest rate unchanged and reiterated its intention to phase out the program with the repurchase market for treasury bonds and debt securities of mortgage agencies. At the same time, she was once again declared the commitment of the Fed "soft" credit policy, which will be held Reserve System "for a long period." In addition to macroeconomic assessments Fed once again improved. According to the outcome document of the January session of the FOMC, in particular, "cost of business equipment and software to show signs of growth." In a similar review of the December Fed said that "business continues to reduce capital investment, although with less activity than before." Against this background, we can see that segment investment risks adjusted upward from their January lows and the price in terms of the next few weeks, it appears that still retains the tendency to consolidate within a wide price range. The failure of the "Obama plan" would lead to an increase in market volatility, "inflating" bubble "on a number of market segments. The success of the U.S. Administration will gain a positive correlation of prices in financial markets and the behavior of real macroeconomic statistics, but it"s hardly a circumstance" discourage "investors" desire to earn money while maintaining long-term inflationary threat and against the background of increased competition in the financial sector. However, improved dynamics, including the world"s stock markets, had little effect on the dynamics of the course the single European currency to the dollar, which continues to reflect the changes in ownership within the European risks. Apparently, such a divergence of the medium term will accumulate. Yesterday, during the Economic Forum in Davos, professor at the University of New York N. Roubini said in an interview with Bloomberg, that in the next few years, there were "increasing risks of" the collapse of EMC due to uneven economic development of countries in Europe. According to N. Roubini, "the economy the euro zone may, in fact, drift, showing the splitting of indicators with a strong center and weak periphery, and, finally, some countries may withdraw from the European Monetary Union. It should be noted tha1000t recently Germany"s Chancellor Angela Merkel also said that the euro in the coming years, expects "difficult period". It is possible that in the short run, overall easing of tensions on the segment of risky investments, yet will support the exchange rate of EUR /USD. However, the medium-term potential for further strengthen the USD exchange rate against the euro, against the backdrop of increasing European inflation and investment risks, and in a possible general trend of the U.S. currency on the FX at the moment, is relatively high. ruble RF to the USD and against the currency basket of the MICEX today to 10:00 Moscow time was 30.37 and 35.85 rubles. against, respectively, 30,31 and 35,79 rub. Tuesday morning. possibility of the outcome of further depreciation of the ruble of Russia in the foreign exchange market in the medium term remains. Correlation dynamics quotation EUR /RUB and EUR /USD at the same time indicates that, while maintaining the current level of the relative value of the single European currency to the dollar, from the perspective of the coming weeks, the target level for the rate USD /RUB is a mark 31 RUR. for USD. Sotsset traders Comon.ru. Get tips, learn to trade stocks in real market! Sign. log in and see the material;; 2; user rated material on 4,5. Analyst Ratings
Yesterday, the euro /dollar continued its decline in the U.S. session, and reached 1.3993 marks. Couple pound /dollar after rising to 1.6240 marks dropped to 1.6137, which is 103 points below the daily maximum. Pair dollar /yen was established near the mark of 90.00. Cross the euro /yen was trading at the end of the session near the 126.20 level. The experts noted that the pressure on the euro against the dollar has reduced investors" willingness to take risks and fall of the riskier instruments such as gold, Australian, New Zealand dollar. The decrease in optimism of investors contributed to the statements of Mr. Ben Bernanke. In a statement the Fed said that the country"s continuing growth in economic activity. However, its pace is slow. It was stated that the rates in the U.S. for an extended period will remain at low levels. The main reasons for this are called high unemployment and low inflation. It was noted that the negative trends in the labor market in the U.S. is weakening. At the same time, the volume of consumer spending remained low. The decrease in lending continues. Experts say that are used today in the Open Market Committee statement, expression suggests that the leadership of the Fed has become more optimistic about the prospects for economic development. Fed program to purchase debt from mortgage agencies retained without change in the amount of 175 billion dollars it must end in the first quarter of this year. Program for the purchase of securities in the mortgage market of $ 1.25 trillion. U.S. until March of this year is unchanged. By February 1, is scheduled to close anti-crisis swap transactions with foreign central banks. Yesterday, the Dow Jones New York Stock Exchange rose 41.87 points (0.41%). The Nasdaq rose 17.68 points (0.80%). SP 500 index rose to 5.33 points (0.49%). Yesterday, the index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange Xetra DAX fell 25.73 points (-0.45%). The London FTSE 100 index fell 59.38 points (-1.13%). Bloomberg European 500 Index fell 1.40 points (-0.80%). yesterday completed another two-day meeting of the Open Market Committee Federal Reserve System. As a result, the range for the basic interest rate on federal funds (Federal fund rate) is unchanged at 0.00-0.25%. For this decision voted nine committee members, one voted against. The discount rate is left unchanged at 0.50%. Yesterday the price of WTI crude oil during the bidding in New York fell to 1.80 dollar to the level of 72.91 dollars per barrel. Yesterday the price of gold also test the bottom at around 1084.00 dollars per troy ounce. New home sales in the U.S. for December 2009 amounted to 342K (forecast 370K, the previous value of 355K).