the end of the year the price situation in the housing market will depend not only economic but also political factors, the publication of The Power of Money.
At the end of May in the capital of realtor database evaporate offers cheaper 40 thousand dollars. In April and May have been implemented, most of the cheapest options in the sales remained flat подороже - said Ruslan Bezuglyi, Director of the Academy of Sciences Ukrainian House (Kiev). - And therefore there Ð¿Ð¾Ð´Ð¾Ñ€Ð¾Ð¶Ð°Ð½Ð¸Ñ effect. Experts consider it temporary. Downward price trend in the flat for the next six months, in their view, perpetuate precisely the forthcoming change of head of state.
There is no tendency to rise housing until the mid-late 2010, clearly will not, and one of the reasons - the elections, - argues Sergei Kostetsky, marketing analyst consulting company SV Development. In addition to the normal drop in mass demand in the forthcoming elections (now dealt with two dates - in December 2009 or January 2010) is added and the seasonal decline in business activity in the pre-and postnovogodny periods.
Another indirect influence on the value of vtorichki prior to the change of power - the dollar, habitually dependent on political processes. The May drop in U.S. currency (NBU rate for the month fell by 1%) suspended the cheaper apartments, but in some cases even allowing sellers to revise the price upward.
By the time of launch pre-race, experts expect the growth of the dollar. Some analysts predict that by the end of the year, the dollar will cost 9 hryvnia - believes Nikolai Ivchenko, head of analytical department of company Forex Club. The tendency to strengthen the American currency, which nominated the bulk of the cost of flats in the secondary market, sellers will not give reason to revise the dollar prices upwards.
experts tend to give very encouraging forecasts of developments in economic and political life of the country, says The power of money. Before the elections, analysts believe prices on the secondary market will decline by 1-5% every month (except for late August-September, when possible surge of buying activity). Then comes a price floor , before the end of 2010, prices in the market is stable and will vary plus or minus 1% per month, - said Sergey Kostetsky.
At the same time, the pace of reducing the cost of housing from developers, as the experts would be more modest. Construction companies still do not see a possibility to set prices below cost, and the current level is already close to it. By early next year, primary may be cheaper still within 2-3% over the entire period.
However, according to the publication of The Power of Money, experts kept in store and the pessimistic scenario, which may come not just reducing, and collapse of the market. If the elections will be not very smooth when starting the protest and the situation becomes uncontrollable, it can pull down real estate market. Experts believe the responsibility, first of all, the authorities make the balloon the real estate market is not bursting, summarizes the Power of Money.