Thursday, July 29, 2010

Analysis of Futures and Options VTB

Tuesday, July 14, 2009, 16:08
This news item was posted in News and Comments category and has 0 Comments so far.

Futures on the JSC VTB (VBU9): futures on OJSC VTB in the morning is the positive basis (30 points), at 12-00 Moscow time podrastaya at 4% (Fig. 1).

Figure 1. VTB. Bazis within days.

The number of open positions has declined compared to the morning opening at 4000, and at 12-00 Moscow time the value of this indicator was 68 500 (Fig. 2).

Figure 2. VTB. Open positions within days.

In the medium term, the market remains in the descending trend. Volatility September putov outside money a little higher than the September call volatility of outside money. Thus, at the current market, we again see a volatility smirk with distortions in the putov (Fig. 3), which indicates that the downward movement should be resumed.

Fig 3. VTB. Exchange IV within days.

If you talk about the number of open positions, the maximum number of remains VB2250AU9 (put max, Fig. 4) and VB4000AI9 (call max, Fig. 4) страйках, the absolute values for these страйках do not focus on these levels as at full form.

Figure 4. Levels optional support /resistance.

The most likely scenario: consolidating below 3500 levels with a view to follow 2250.

Least likely scenario: the resumption of growth from 4000.

Authorize and appreciate the story;;

3 users rated material at 3,3.


Analyst Ratings


Expert: Conclusions of the IMF on the third tranche of the signal is relatively effective anti-crisis policy of Ukraine
If oil prices fall to $ 50-55 per barrel, the Russian market will go toward 800 points on the MICEX index
Gazprom: Trend far as the nearest resistance level of the paper is 148 rubles
EBRD to invest $ 300 million in energy efficiency projects in Russia
Savings Bank will not revise projections of reserves at the end of 2009
Resistance to first-level pair of EUR /USD is at 1.4000
Start a new trading week on the U.S. stock market was marked by the rise of the major indices
Today, expect short-term market correction of EUR /USD up
Asia: successive cuts disrupted by raising the forecast for the Singapore economy

You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

Leave a Reply