“Gap” up the market to external background

Today on Russian platforms, we expect the opening of “gepom” up, which would promote the growth of foreign markets that took place during our vacation, after which a rising momentum is likely to continue. The main driver for the morning “gap” will increase in energy prices that will bring leaders in the oil and gas sector. But from the middle of the trading session, perhaps, the market накроет wave of profit taking on long positions, which lead to the correctional movement. As a result, by the end of the day the market can return to the levels of discovery and, possibly, close the morning “gap”. Thus, bidding will take place against a background of high volatility.

External background during our New Year holidays has changed insignificantly. The greatest changes occurred in the energy market. Since futures on Brent oil showed growth of about 4.5%, breaking through at the same time highs last year, and the upper limit of the corridor of consolidation between levels 75 - $ 80, which has spent the last months of the previous year. By the time the current contract had reached $ 82 per barrel. If we talk about the American markets, that growth less significant here. During our “no” S P500 index has shown growth of about 2% and also able to overcome most of last year.

If we talk about next week, the first few days we can expect increased volatility associated with the dynamics of external sites wagering on vacation and “shaking” of portfolios in favor of the oil sector, and therefore, the market will experience increased volatility and the lack of response to “short-term” fluctuations in external markets. However, in the middle of the week, when the market comes in line with external sites, you can expect lower volatility of the market and the transition of Russia into the mainstream following the dynamics of energy prices and foreign stock markets.

On the dynamics of stock prices in the coming days may affect interest rate decisions od38f the European Central Bank
Today, the external background for Russia”s stock market turned positive
Today, Russia”s market will open with “gepom” up within 2%
Positive trends prevailed in the foreign markets, while encouraging only the opening “short position”
The growth of world indices and oil prices will now contribute to the rise of Russian securities quotes
At today”s auctions RTS index may be close to 1500 points
The first trading session of the new year to Russia”s market will begin with a confident gap up
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In 2010, the government of Russia expects GDP growth of 3,1% and inflation at the level of 6,5-7,5%